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Red12
86821.1
172019.0
23609.8
Blue2
164614.2
394013.2
44728.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46500206080100120140160122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#17
21.13.0
25.122.1
Auto0.7
Teleop20.4
End0.0
blue by 7.2
447
#7
28.34.1
20.516.4
Auto0.6
Teleop27.8
End0.0
Second
1720
#16
19.03.0
12.79.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.1
End0.0
red by 4.8
1646
#34
14.24.1
19.315.2
Auto0.6
Teleop13.6
End0.0
Third
2360
#28
9.83.0
10.17.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.9
End0.0
blue by 3.4
3940
#25
13.24.1
11.57.4
Auto0.4
Teleop12.7
End0.0