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Red58
518832.2
152919.5
348721.1
Blue8
400810.0
318010.7
498217.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions392306080100120140160588

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.21.7
16.117.8
Auto0.5
Teleop31.7
End0.0
red by 15.2
4982
#19
17.01.5
10.69.1
Auto0.3
Teleop16.7
End0.0
Second
3487
#11
21.11.7
16.618.3
Auto0.2
Teleop21.0
End0.0
red by 10.5
3180
#30
10.71.5
6.65.1
Auto0.3
Teleop10.4
End0.0
Third
1529
#15
19.51.7
4.96.6
Auto0.5
Teleop19.0
End0.0
red by 9.4
4008
#32
10.01.5
8.97.4
Auto0.1
Teleop10.0
End0.0