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Red50
102441.4
394729.4
49269.7
Blue51
150123.9
172019.0
46125.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45442030405060705051

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.40.3
23.623.9
Auto0.6
Teleop40.8
End0.0
red by 16.4
461
#9
25.00.4
19.319.7
Auto0.3
Teleop24.7
End0.0
Second
29.40.3
17.317.6
Auto0.2
Teleop29.2
End0.0
red by 5.5
1501
#10
23.90.4
17.017.4
Auto0.4
Teleop23.5
End0.0
Third
4926
#23
9.70.3
5.55.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.9
End0.0
blue by 9.3
1720
#16
19.00.4
9.710.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.1
End0.0