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Red32
540316.8
86821.1
164614.2
Blue61
349421.8
44728.3
82919.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions465101001502003261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#17
21.10.9
22.121.2
Auto0.7
Teleop20.4
End0.0
blue by 7.2
447
#7
28.30.7
16.417.1
Auto0.6
Teleop27.8
End0.0
Second
5403
#14
16.80.9
11.310.4
Auto0.4
Teleop16.4
End0.0
blue by 5.0
3494
#12
21.80.7
18.719.5
Auto0.6
Teleop21.2
End0.0
Third
1646
#34
14.20.9
15.214.3
Auto0.6
Teleop13.6
End0.0
blue by 5.3
829
#27
19.50.7
17.017.8
Auto0.5
Teleop19.0
End0.0