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Red8
348721.1
421113.3
48467.5
Blue27
317619.4
82919.5
101819.4
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3247020406080100120140160827

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3487
#11
21.12.3
18.316.0
Auto0.2
Teleop21.0
End0.0
red by 1.6
829
#27
19.51.6
17.816.2
Auto0.5
Teleop19.0
End0.0
Second
4211
#26
13.32.3
8.96.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop13.3
End0.0
blue by 6.1
1018
#13
19.41.6
15.413.8
Auto0.2
Teleop19.2
End0.0
Third
4846
#29
7.52.3
8.46.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.6
End0.0
blue by 11.9
19.41.6
13.411.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.5
End0.0