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Red68
174122.3
44728.3
498217.0
Blue108
314717.2
102441.4
355922.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4147020608010012014068108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
447
#7
28.32.0
17.119.1
Auto0.6
Teleop27.8
End0.0
blue by 13.1
41.45.0
23.928.8
Auto0.6
Teleop40.8
End0.0
Second
1741
#20
22.32.0
17.519.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.4
End0.0
blue by 0.6
22.95.0
9.314.3
Auto0.4
Teleop22.6
End0.0
Third
4982
#19
17.02.0
9.111.1
Auto0.3
Teleop16.7
End0.0
blue by 0.2
3147
#21
17.25.0
15.020.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.3
End0.0