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Red50
518832.2
174716.4
394729.4
Blue0
23609.8
164614.2
152919.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions542104080100120140500

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.20.1
17.617.5
Auto0.5
Teleop31.7
End0.0
red by 12.8
1529
#15
19.51.7
6.64.8
Auto0.5
Teleop19.0
End0.0
Second
29.40.1
17.617.6
Auto0.2
Teleop29.2
End0.0
red by 15.2
1646
#34
14.21.7
14.312.6
Auto0.6
Teleop13.6
End0.0
Third
1747
#22
16.40.1
15.815.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.4
End0.0
red by 6.6
2360
#28
9.81.7
6.04.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.9
End0.0