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Red9
410326.7
21718.8
42346.5
Blue24
501015.1
318010.7
394013.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2825020406080100924

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.71.6
15.914.2
Auto0.3
Teleop26.4
End0.0
red by 11.5
5010
#24
15.10.2
11.211.0
Auto0.8
Teleop14.3
End0.0
Second
2171
#31
8.81.6
8.26.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.9
End0.0
blue by 4.4
3940
#25
13.20.2
10.09.8
Auto0.4
Teleop12.7
End0.0
Third
4234
#33
6.51.6
4.52.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.6
End0.0
blue by 4.2
3180
#30
10.70.2
5.14.9
Auto0.3
Teleop10.4
End0.0