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Red25
394013.2
348721.1
394729.4
Blue31
152919.5
174122.3
172019.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47300204060801001201402531

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.41.7
20.118.3
Auto0.2
Teleop29.2
End0.0
red by 7.1
1741
#20
22.30.2
16.616.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.4
End0.0
Second
3487
#11
21.11.7
16.014.3
Auto0.2
Teleop21.0
End0.0
red by 1.7
1529
#15
19.50.2
7.47.2
Auto0.5
Teleop19.0
End0.0
Third
3940
#25
13.21.7
9.88.1
Auto0.4
Teleop12.7
End0.0
blue by 5.8
1720
#16
19.00.2
9.89.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.1
End0.0