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Red50
44728.3
501015.1
42346.5
Blue74
102441.4
427215.7
48467.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions284602060801001201405074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
447
#7
28.31.5
20.321.8
Auto0.6
Teleop27.8
End0.0
blue by 13.1
41.42.4
30.032.4
Auto0.6
Teleop40.8
End0.0
Second
5010
#24
15.11.5
8.910.4
Auto0.8
Teleop14.3
End0.0
blue by 0.5
4272
#18
15.72.4
10.012.4
Auto0.5
Teleop15.2
End0.0
Third
4234
#33
6.51.5
2.84.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.6
End0.0
blue by 1.0
4846
#29
7.52.4
4.97.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.6
End0.0