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Red53
23609.8
150123.9
518832.2
Blue40
314717.2
86821.1
498217.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions385102060801001201401605340

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.21.4
17.018.4
Auto0.5
Teleop31.7
End0.0
red by 11.2
868
#17
21.10.9
22.221.3
Auto0.7
Teleop20.4
End0.0
Second
1501
#10
23.91.4
20.321.8
Auto0.4
Teleop23.5
End0.0
red by 6.7
3147
#21
17.20.9
17.116.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.3
End0.0
Third
2360
#28
9.81.4
4.35.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.9
End0.0
blue by 7.2
4982
#19
17.00.9
11.210.3
Auto0.3
Teleop16.7
End0.0