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Red86
394013.2
102441.4
421113.3
Blue58
174716.4
355922.9
348721.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions493802060801001201408658

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.43.1
32.435.5
Auto0.6
Teleop40.8
End0.0
red by 18.5
22.91.9
14.015.9
Auto0.4
Teleop22.6
End0.0
Second
4211
#26
13.33.1
8.311.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop13.3
End0.0
blue by 7.8
3487
#11
21.11.9
14.316.2
Auto0.2
Teleop21.0
End0.0
Third
3940
#25
13.23.1
8.111.2
Auto0.4
Teleop12.7
End0.0
blue by 3.3
1747
#22
16.41.9
13.014.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.4
End0.0