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Red23
102441.4
172019.0
400810.0
Blue15
48467.5
540316.8
21718.8
75%Model gave it25%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions542702040801001201401602315

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.42.2
35.533.3
Auto0.6
Teleop40.8
End0.0
red by 24.6
5403
#14
16.81.3
14.112.7
Auto0.4
Teleop16.4
End0.0
Second
1720
#16
19.02.2
12.710.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.1
End0.0
red by 10.2
2171
#31
8.81.3
9.98.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.9
End0.0
Third
4008
#32
10.02.2
3.10.9
Auto0.1
Teleop10.0
End0.0
red by 2.5
4846
#29
7.51.3
8.37.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.6
End0.0