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Red30
23609.8
355922.9
318010.7
Blue43
150123.9
174716.4
82919.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27520204060801001203043

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.90.1
15.915.8
Auto0.4
Teleop22.6
End0.0
blue by 1.0
1501
#10
23.90.1
22.622.5
Auto0.4
Teleop23.5
End0.0
Second
3180
#30
10.70.1
11.311.2
Auto0.3
Teleop10.4
End0.0
blue by 8.8
829
#27
19.50.1
12.612.5
Auto0.5
Teleop19.0
End0.0
Third
2360
#28
9.80.1
4.44.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.9
End0.0
blue by 6.6
1747
#22
16.40.1
14.914.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.4
End0.0