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Red36
48467.5
172019.0
410326.7
Blue34
314717.2
427215.7
101819.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304402060801001201401603634

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.70.2
12.412.6
Auto0.3
Teleop26.4
End0.0
red by 7.3
1018
#13
19.40.8
13.712.9
Auto0.2
Teleop19.2
End0.0
Second
1720
#16
19.00.2
12.512.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.1
End0.0
red by 1.7
3147
#21
17.20.8
18.017.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.3
End0.0
Third
4846
#29
7.50.2
8.48.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.6
End0.0
blue by 8.2
4272
#18
15.70.8
11.510.8
Auto0.5
Teleop15.2
End0.0