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Red25
174716.4
349421.8
23435.5
Blue14
150123.9
394013.2
498217.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions664301001502514

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#2
35.53.3
27.524.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop35.6
End0.0
red by 11.6
1501
#10
23.92.9
20.617.7
Auto0.4
Teleop23.5
End0.0
Second
3494
#12
21.83.3
20.116.8
Auto0.6
Teleop21.2
End0.0
red by 4.8
4982
#19
17.02.9
13.510.6
Auto0.3
Teleop16.7
End0.0
Third
1747
#22
16.43.3
17.514.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.4
End0.0
red by 3.3
3940
#25
13.22.9
14.311.5
Auto0.4
Teleop12.7
End0.0