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Red14
314717.2
152919.5
82919.5
Blue17
49269.7
21718.8
46125.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433302060801001201401417

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
829
#27
19.51.9
19.017.0
Auto0.5
Teleop19.0
End0.0
blue by 5.5
461
#9
25.01.6
20.919.3
Auto0.3
Teleop24.7
End0.0
Second
1529
#15
19.51.9
6.84.9
Auto0.5
Teleop19.0
End0.0
red by 9.8
4926
#23
9.71.6
7.15.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.9
End0.0
Third
3147
#21
17.21.9
17.215.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.3
End0.0
red by 8.5
2171
#31
8.81.6
7.86.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.9
End0.0