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Red52
164614.2
427215.7
174716.4
Blue83
317619.4
174122.3
86821.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395101001505283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1747
#22
16.40.5
15.716.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.4
End0.0
blue by 5.9
1741
#20
22.31.8
18.019.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.4
End0.0
Second
4272
#18
15.70.5
15.516.0
Auto0.5
Teleop15.2
End0.0
blue by 5.4
868
#17
21.11.8
19.120.9
Auto0.7
Teleop20.4
End0.0
Third
1646
#34
14.20.6
11.211.8
Auto0.6
Teleop13.6
End0.0
blue by 5.2
19.41.9
14.116.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.5
End0.0