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Red96
501015.1
540316.8
355922.9
Blue92
49269.7
394013.2
518832.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464202060801001201409692

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.92.7
20.523.2
Auto0.4
Teleop22.6
End0.0
blue by 9.3
32.22.6
26.629.3
Auto0.5
Teleop31.7
End0.0
Second
5403
#14
16.82.7
14.517.2
Auto0.4
Teleop16.4
End0.0
red by 3.7
3940
#25
13.22.6
10.813.4
Auto0.4
Teleop12.7
End0.0
Third
5010
#24
15.12.7
12.415.1
Auto0.8
Teleop14.3
End0.0
red by 5.5
4926
#23
9.72.6
7.09.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.9
End0.0