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Red106
102446.5
150139.5
492612.9
Blue109
349431.2
540227.4
498222.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9864050150200106109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.50.2
45.645.8
Auto1.3
Teleop45.2
End0.0
red by 15.3
3494
#13
31.20.6
28.128.7
Auto1.2
Teleop30.0
End0.0
Second
39.50.2
38.638.8
Auto0.6
Teleop38.9
End0.0
red by 12.1
5402
#12
27.40.6
24.324.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop27.5
End0.0
Third
4926
#23
12.90.2
12.012.2
Auto0.4
Teleop12.5
End0.0
blue by 9.4
4982
#17
22.30.6
19.119.8
Auto0.1
Teleop22.1
End0.0