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Red102
102446.5
150139.5
492612.9
Blue103
349431.2
540227.4
498222.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10068050150200102103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.50.1
46.346.4
Auto1.3
Teleop45.2
End0.0
red by 15.3
3494
#13
31.20.5
29.329.7
Auto1.2
Teleop30.0
End0.0
Second
39.50.1
39.339.3
Auto0.6
Teleop38.9
End0.0
red by 12.1
5402
#12
27.40.5
25.525.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop27.5
End0.0
Third
4926
#23
12.90.1
12.712.7
Auto0.4
Teleop12.5
End0.0
blue by 9.4
4982
#17
22.30.5
20.320.8
Auto0.1
Teleop22.1
End0.0