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Red40
10740.1
172038.5
219717.1
Blue53
176012.0
152927.3
318016.0
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1014601502002504053

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107
#5
40.10.8
40.239.3
Auto2.4
Teleop37.7
End0.0
red by 12.8
1529
#11
27.30.1
27.727.6
Auto1.2
Teleop26.1
End0.0
Second
38.50.8
38.637.7
Auto0.6
Teleop37.9
End0.0
red by 22.5
3180
#18
16.00.1
16.316.3
Auto0.5
Teleop15.5
End0.0
Third
2197
#16
17.10.8
17.216.3
Auto1.8
Teleop15.3
End0.0
red by 5.1
1760
#27
12.00.1
12.312.3
Auto0.5
Teleop11.5
End0.0