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Red141
13545.6
23452.7
386510.9
Blue75
82932.8
7141.6
286714.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions988205015020014175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#1
52.70.7
49.249.9
Auto0.9
Teleop51.7
End0.0
red by 11.1
71
#6
41.60.2
41.140.9
Auto0.7
Teleop40.9
End0.0
Second
135
#3
45.60.7
42.242.9
Auto0.4
Teleop45.2
End0.0
red by 12.9
829
#9
32.80.2
32.332.1
Auto1.0
Teleop31.8
End0.0
Third
3865
#29
10.90.7
7.58.2
Auto0.2
Teleop10.7
End0.0
blue by 3.6
2867
#19
14.50.2
14.013.8
Auto1.2
Teleop13.3
End0.0