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Red138
10740.1
172038.5
219717.1
Blue109
410333.7
394029.0
4524.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9282050150200138109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107
#5
40.10.7
39.340.1
Auto2.4
Teleop37.7
End0.0
red by 6.4
4103
#10
33.70.4
33.333.7
Auto0.2
Teleop33.5
End0.0
Second
38.50.7
37.738.5
Auto0.6
Teleop37.9
End0.0
red by 9.5
29.00.4
28.629.0
Auto0.8
Teleop28.3
End0.0
Third
2197
#16
17.10.7
16.317.1
Auto1.8
Teleop15.3
End0.0
blue by 7.5
45
#15
24.50.4
24.224.5
Auto1.1
Teleop23.4
End0.0