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Red112
102446.5
150139.5
492612.9
Blue149
13545.6
23452.7
386510.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94100050150200250300112149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.50.2
46.346.5
Auto1.3
Teleop45.2
End0.0
blue by 6.1
234
#1
52.70.8
50.551.3
Auto0.9
Teleop51.7
End0.0
Second
39.50.2
39.339.5
Auto0.6
Teleop38.9
End0.0
blue by 6.1
135
#3
45.60.8
43.544.2
Auto0.4
Teleop45.2
End0.0
Third
4926
#23
12.90.2
12.712.9
Auto0.4
Teleop12.5
End0.0
red by 2.0
3865
#29
10.90.8
8.89.5
Auto0.2
Teleop10.7
End0.0