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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35510100150200455

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3494
#13
31.20.6
22.122.7
Auto1.2
Teleop30.0
End0.0
red by 6.7
45
#15
24.53.8
20.316.5
Auto1.1
Teleop23.4
End0.0
Second
4824
#28
9.31.0
10.911.9
Auto0.0
Teleop9.3
End0.0
blue by 8.1
68
#25
17.43.8
23.719.9
Auto0.1
Teleop17.3
End0.0
Third
5484
#32
4.41.0
5.96.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop4.5
End0.0
blue by 4.1
4791
#30
8.63.8
6.62.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop8.9
End0.0