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Red115
102446.5
314715.6
150139.5
Blue128
219717.1
13545.6
394029.0
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8741050100150115128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.51.6
40.542.1
Auto1.3
Teleop45.2
End0.0
red by 0.9
135
#3
45.66.5
27.634.1
Auto0.4
Teleop45.2
End0.0
Second
39.51.6
24.726.3
Auto0.6
Teleop38.9
End0.0
red by 10.5
29.03.9
13.417.3
Auto0.8
Teleop28.3
End0.0
Third
3147
#26
15.61.6
17.919.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.8
End0.0
blue by 1.5
2197
#16
17.16.5
8.815.3
Auto1.8
Teleop15.3
End0.0