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Red102
152927.3
7141.6
492612.9
Blue33
448519.1
540227.4
10740.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5660010015020025030035010233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71
#6
41.63.6
27.030.7
Auto0.7
Teleop40.9
End0.0
red by 1.5
107
#5
40.10.5
30.630.1
Auto2.4
Teleop37.7
End0.0
Second
1529
#11
27.32.2
19.822.0
Auto1.2
Teleop26.1
End0.0
blue by 0.1
5402
#12
27.40.8
14.513.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop27.5
End0.0
Third
4926
#23
12.92.2
11.513.7
Auto0.4
Teleop12.5
End0.0
blue by 6.2
4485
#21
19.10.8
16.015.1
Auto0.3
Teleop18.7
End0.0