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Red117
102446.5
219717.1
410333.7
Blue114
10740.1
400812.0
7141.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8365050100150200117114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.51.7
42.644.3
Auto1.3
Teleop45.2
End0.0
red by 4.9
71
#6
41.63.7
29.032.7
Auto0.7
Teleop40.9
End0.0
Second
4103
#10
33.71.7
28.029.7
Auto0.2
Teleop33.5
End0.0
blue by 6.4
107
#5
40.12.2
31.834.0
Auto2.4
Teleop37.7
End0.0
Third
2197
#16
17.12.8
12.315.1
Auto1.8
Teleop15.3
End0.0
red by 5.1
4008
#22
12.02.2
9.211.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.1
End0.0