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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5335020801001201401604022

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1529
#11
27.30.6
23.022.4
Auto1.2
Teleop26.1
End0.0
red by 8.2
4485
#21
19.11.4
14.413.0
Auto0.3
Teleop18.7
End0.0
Second
4982
#17
22.30.6
19.218.6
Auto0.1
Teleop22.1
End0.0
red by 6.7
3147
#26
15.60.8
17.416.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.8
End0.0
Third
2867
#19
14.51.0
10.19.1
Auto1.2
Teleop13.3
End0.0
red by 5.2
4824
#28
9.31.4
6.95.5
Auto0.0
Teleop9.3
End0.0