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Red88
6817.4
492612.9
13545.6
Blue123
540227.4
23452.7
29226.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions676420408010012014088123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
135
#3
45.61.6
35.036.6
Auto0.4
Teleop45.2
End0.0
blue by 7.0
234
#1
52.72.8
39.942.7
Auto0.9
Teleop51.7
End0.0
Second
68
#25
17.41.6
22.123.7
Auto0.1
Teleop17.3
End0.0
blue by 10.0
5402
#12
27.44.7
14.419.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop27.5
End0.0
Third
4926
#23
12.90.9
12.213.1
Auto0.4
Teleop12.5
End0.0
blue by 13.8
292
#14
26.74.7
12.917.6
Auto0.4
Teleop26.3
End0.0