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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21630501001502003252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3180
#18
16.00.2
11.812.0
Auto0.5
Teleop15.5
End0.0
blue by 23.5
39.50.3
31.631.3
Auto0.6
Teleop38.9
End0.0
Second
3865
#29
10.90.3
7.27.5
Auto0.2
Teleop10.7
End0.0
blue by 13.6
45
#15
24.50.6
19.919.3
Auto1.1
Teleop23.4
End0.0
Third
3936
#31
9.60.3
9.59.8
Auto0.5
Teleop9.1
End0.0
red by 5.2
5484
#32
4.40.6
7.56.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop4.5
End0.0