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Red55
540227.4
498222.3
386510.9
Blue109
219717.1
23452.7
349431.2
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions359005015020055109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5402
#12
27.40.8
19.019.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop27.5
End0.0
blue by 25.3
234
#1
52.71.2
42.743.9
Auto0.9
Teleop51.7
End0.0
Second
4982
#17
22.30.5
18.619.1
Auto0.1
Teleop22.1
End0.0
blue by 8.9
3494
#13
31.21.2
26.627.9
Auto1.2
Teleop30.0
End0.0
Third
3865
#29
10.90.8
7.58.3
Auto0.2
Teleop10.7
End0.0
blue by 6.2
2197
#16
17.12.0
15.117.2
Auto1.8
Teleop15.3
End0.0