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Red153
150139.5
82932.8
7141.6
Blue99
394029.0
29226.7
492612.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9447015020015399

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71
#6
41.65.3
32.737.9
Auto0.7
Teleop40.9
End0.0
red by 12.6
29.02.2
25.227.3
Auto0.8
Teleop28.3
End0.0
Second
39.53.2
31.334.4
Auto0.6
Teleop38.9
End0.0
red by 12.8
292
#14
26.73.6
17.621.2
Auto0.4
Teleop26.3
End0.0
Third
829
#9
32.83.2
25.829.0
Auto1.0
Teleop31.8
End0.0
red by 19.9
4926
#23
12.92.2
13.115.3
Auto0.4
Teleop12.5
End0.0