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Red38
448519.1
318016.0
4524.5
Blue16
492612.9
48249.3
176012.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions473402060801001201403816

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45
#15
24.50.2
18.718.5
Auto1.1
Teleop23.4
End0.0
red by 11.6
4926
#23
12.91.1
15.314.2
Auto0.4
Teleop12.5
End0.0
Second
4485
#21
19.10.2
13.813.6
Auto0.3
Teleop18.7
End0.0
red by 7.1
1760
#27
12.01.6
12.911.4
Auto0.5
Teleop11.5
End0.0
Third
3180
#18
16.00.1
14.214.1
Auto0.5
Teleop15.5
End0.0
red by 6.7
4824
#28
9.31.7
9.37.6
Auto0.0
Teleop9.3
End0.0