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Red54
6817.4
540227.4
349431.2
Blue85
13545.6
54844.4
314715.6
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75620501001505485

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3494
#13
31.21.1
29.628.5
Auto1.2
Teleop30.0
End0.0
blue by 14.4
135
#3
45.61.3
40.441.7
Auto0.4
Teleop45.2
End0.0
Second
5402
#12
27.41.6
19.618.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop27.5
End0.0
red by 11.8
3147
#26
15.60.9
19.120.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.8
End0.0
Third
68
#25
17.41.6
26.424.8
Auto0.1
Teleop17.3
End0.0
red by 12.9
5484
#32
4.41.3
6.98.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop4.5
End0.0