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Red11
386510.9
6817.4
172038.5
Blue40
498222.3
314715.6
29226.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72610501001501140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.52.8
40.237.4
Auto0.6
Teleop37.9
End0.0
red by 11.7
292
#14
26.71.2
26.625.5
Auto0.4
Teleop26.3
End0.0
Second
68
#25
17.43.4
22.018.6
Auto0.1
Teleop17.3
End0.0
blue by 4.9
4982
#17
22.30.9
20.319.4
Auto0.1
Teleop22.1
End0.0
Third
3865
#29
10.93.4
10.87.4
Auto0.2
Teleop10.7
End0.0
blue by 4.7
3147
#26
15.60.9
17.917.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.8
End0.0