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Red137
4524.5
286714.5
10740.1
Blue120
47918.6
102446.5
540227.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6469050100150200137120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107
#5
40.13.5
37.440.9
Auto2.4
Teleop37.7
End0.0
blue by 6.4
46.52.5
43.746.1
Auto1.3
Teleop45.2
End0.0
Second
45
#15
24.54.3
20.224.5
Auto1.1
Teleop23.4
End0.0
blue by 2.8
5402
#12
27.43.0
19.822.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop27.5
End0.0
Third
2867
#19
14.54.3
9.513.7
Auto1.2
Teleop13.3
End0.0
red by 5.9
4791
#30
8.63.0
7.410.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop8.9
End0.0