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Red142
102454.6
23469.0
219724.4
Blue151
174731.1
44741.8
540225.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15177050100200142151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#1
69.00.0
67.967.8
Auto1.6
Teleop67.4
End0.0
red by 27.2
447
#13
41.81.0
39.440.4
Auto0.4
Teleop41.4
End0.0
Second
54.60.0
53.553.5
Auto2.5
Teleop52.1
End0.0
red by 23.5
1747
#18
31.11.0
28.729.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop31.5
End0.0
Third
2197
#20
24.40.0
23.423.3
Auto1.9
Teleop22.6
End0.0
blue by 0.9
5402
#39
25.41.0
22.923.9
Auto0.0
Teleop25.4
End0.0