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Red136
102454.6
23469.0
219724.4
Blue96
548420.2
286730.3
101820.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15651010020025013696

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#1
69.00.2
68.168.0
Auto1.6
Teleop67.4
End0.0
red by 38.7
2867
#10
30.30.4
29.830.3
Auto0.8
Teleop29.5
End0.0
Second
54.60.2
53.753.6
Auto2.5
Teleop52.1
End0.0
red by 34.2
1018
#23
20.40.4
20.020.4
Auto0.1
Teleop20.3
End0.0
Third
2197
#20
24.40.2
23.623.4
Auto1.9
Teleop22.6
End0.0
red by 4.3
5484
#14
20.20.4
19.820.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop20.6
End0.0