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Red146
518847.4
150146.6
164618.6
Blue135
174731.1
44741.8
540225.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11274050100150200146135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.40.6
46.547.1
Auto0.1
Teleop47.3
End0.0
red by 5.6
447
#13
41.80.9
36.737.5
Auto0.4
Teleop41.4
End0.0
Second
46.60.6
45.746.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop46.7
End0.0
red by 15.5
1747
#18
31.10.9
26.026.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop31.5
End0.0
Third
1646
#24
18.60.6
17.718.3
Auto0.6
Teleop18.0
End0.0
blue by 6.7
5402
#39
25.40.9
20.221.1
Auto0.0
Teleop25.4
End0.0