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Red72
13549.3
86835.1
176010.7
Blue74
174126.0
46130.8
317620.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98690501502007274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
135
#7
49.30.4
49.949.4
Auto1.0
Teleop48.3
End0.0
red by 18.5
461
#9
30.80.0
30.330.3
Auto0.3
Teleop30.4
End0.0
Second
868
#5
35.10.4
35.735.3
Auto0.8
Teleop34.4
End0.0
red by 9.2
1741
#22
26.00.0
25.525.5
Auto0.7
Teleop25.3
End0.0
Third
1760
#35
10.70.4
11.210.8
Auto0.1
Teleop10.5
End0.0
blue by 9.6
3176
#25
20.30.0
19.819.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.3
End0.0