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Red135
174731.1
44741.8
540225.4
Blue132
82935.2
394740.0
29233.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78107050150200250135132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
447
#13
41.80.8
37.538.4
Auto0.4
Teleop41.4
End0.0
red by 1.8
40.00.4
39.239.6
Auto0.7
Teleop39.3
End0.0
Second
1747
#18
31.10.8
26.927.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop31.5
End0.0
blue by 4.1
829
#11
35.20.4
34.534.9
Auto0.2
Teleop35.0
End0.0
Third
5402
#39
25.40.8
21.121.9
Auto0.0
Teleop25.4
End0.0
blue by 8.5
292
#15
33.80.4
33.133.5
Auto0.3
Teleop33.5
End0.0