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Red35
86835.1
482413.2
540322.6
Blue63
4530.4
101820.4
174731.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions526301001502002503563

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#5
35.11.0
23.422.3
Auto0.8
Teleop34.4
End0.0
red by 4.0
1747
#18
31.10.0
19.119.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop31.5
End0.0
Second
5403
#17
22.61.0
20.819.8
Auto0.2
Teleop22.4
End0.0
blue by 7.8
45
#16
30.40.0
26.626.6
Auto0.1
Teleop30.2
End0.0
Third
4824
#30
13.21.0
11.110.1
Auto0.1
Teleop13.0
End0.0
blue by 7.3
1018
#23
20.40.0
18.218.1
Auto0.1
Teleop20.3
End0.0