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Red178
102454.6
13549.3
501016.2
Blue66
44741.8
386513.5
286730.3
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12443010015020017866

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.63.1
52.956.0
Auto2.5
Teleop52.1
End0.0
red by 12.8
447
#13
41.80.4
28.228.7
Auto0.4
Teleop41.4
End0.0
Second
135
#7
49.33.1
49.652.7
Auto1.0
Teleop48.3
End0.0
red by 19.0
2867
#10
30.30.4
18.619.0
Auto0.8
Teleop29.5
End0.0
Third
5010
#21
16.23.1
13.616.7
Auto0.5
Teleop15.7
End0.0
red by 2.6
3865
#28
13.50.4
10.310.7
Auto0.5
Teleop13.0
End0.0