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Red28
82935.2
393614.3
427213.8
Blue24
164618.6
152922.5
355917.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61602040801002824

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
829
#11
35.21.7
35.633.9
Auto0.2
Teleop35.0
End0.0
red by 12.7
1529
#33
22.52.0
24.722.7
Auto0.3
Teleop22.3
End0.0
Second
3936
#26
14.31.7
9.17.4
Auto0.1
Teleop14.2
End0.0
blue by 4.3
1646
#24
18.62.0
18.816.8
Auto0.6
Teleop18.0
End0.0
Third
4272
#36
13.81.7
16.615.0
Auto0.1
Teleop13.7
End0.0
blue by 3.7
3559
#27
17.52.0
20.618.6
Auto0.2
Teleop17.3
End0.0