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Red117
548420.2
174731.1
13549.3
Blue106
176010.7
164618.6
23469.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78860200300400500600700800117106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
135
#7
49.31.8
52.754.4
Auto1.0
Teleop48.3
End0.0
blue by 19.7
234
#1
69.00.9
59.360.2
Auto1.6
Teleop67.4
End0.0
Second
1747
#18
31.11.8
18.420.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop31.5
End0.0
red by 12.5
1646
#24
18.60.9
16.817.7
Auto0.6
Teleop18.0
End0.0
Third
5484
#14
20.21.8
10.912.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop20.6
End0.0
red by 9.5
1760
#35
10.70.9
11.712.7
Auto0.1
Teleop10.5
End0.0