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Red93
427213.8
448532.6
219724.4
Blue138
394740.0
317620.3
286730.3
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5568010015020025093138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.61.7
24.125.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop32.7
End0.0
blue by 7.4
40.03.5
28.932.4
Auto0.7
Teleop39.3
End0.0
Second
2197
#20
24.41.7
20.021.7
Auto1.9
Teleop22.6
End0.0
blue by 5.8
2867
#10
30.33.5
19.022.5
Auto0.8
Teleop29.5
End0.0
Third
4272
#36
13.81.7
15.016.7
Auto0.1
Teleop13.7
End0.0
blue by 6.5
3176
#25
20.33.5
20.523.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.3
End0.0