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Red83
393614.3
4530.4
174126.0
Blue80
458016.8
29233.8
101820.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions546101001502002508380

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45
#16
30.41.3
27.028.3
Auto0.1
Teleop30.2
End0.0
blue by 3.5
292
#15
33.80.9
30.931.8
Auto0.3
Teleop33.5
End0.0
Second
1741
#22
26.01.3
22.523.8
Auto0.7
Teleop25.3
End0.0
red by 5.5
1018
#23
20.40.9
18.719.6
Auto0.1
Teleop20.3
End0.0
Third
3936
#26
14.31.3
7.48.7
Auto0.1
Teleop14.2
End0.0
blue by 2.5
4580
#31
16.80.9
12.713.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.1
End0.0