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Red75
348716.1
484615.3
150146.6
Blue84
86835.1
421115.0
518847.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64710501001502002503007584

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.60.4
40.440.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop46.7
End0.0
blue by 0.8
47.40.6
35.436.0
Auto0.1
Teleop47.3
End0.0
Second
3487
#34
16.10.4
18.619.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.1
End0.0
blue by 19.0
868
#5
35.10.6
25.125.7
Auto0.8
Teleop34.4
End0.0
Third
4846
#19
15.30.4
8.18.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.6
End0.0
red by 0.3
4211
#32
15.00.6
11.712.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.3
End0.0